Success Metrics and Accountability Framework

Bold reforms require measurable outcomes. The following key performance indicators (KPIs) will track progress and hold the administration accountable to the American people.

Economic Justice Metrics

Income Inequality Reduction

Baseline (2024):

Gini coefficient: 0.49 (among highest in developed world)
Bottom 50% wealth share: 2% of total wealth
Top 1% wealth share: 32% of total wealth
Labor share of national income: 58% (vs. 65% in 1970s)

Targets:

Year 5: Gini coefficient < 0.42 (comparable to UK, Canada)
Year 10: Gini coefficient < 0.35 (comparable to France, Germany)
Year 10: Bottom 50% wealth share > 5% (2.5x increase)
Year 10: Top 1% wealth share < 25% (7 percentage point reduction)
Year 5: Labor share of income > 62% (4 percentage point increase)

Measurement: Annual Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances; Bureau of Labor Statistics data

Median Wage Growth

Baseline (2024):

Median household income: ~$75,000 (inflation-adjusted)
Real wage growth (past decade): ~1% annually

Targets:

Annual real wage growth > 3% (triple historical average)
Year 5: Median household income > $87,000 (16% increase, inflation-adjusted)
Year 10: Median household income > $100,000 (33% increase, inflation-adjusted)

Measurement: Census Bureau Current Population Survey; BLS wage data

Poverty Reduction

Baseline (2024):

Official poverty rate: 11.5%
Child poverty rate: 16.2%
Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM): 12.4%

Targets:

Year 5: Official poverty rate < 6% (cut in half)
Year 5: Child poverty rate < 5% (cut by 70%)
Year 10: Official poverty rate < 3% (comparable to Nordic countries)

Measurement: Census Bureau poverty statistics; SPM annual reports

Wealth Building for Working Families

New Metric:

Median net worth of bottom 50%
- Baseline (2024): ~$15,000
- Year 5 Target: > $30,000 (double)
- Year 10 Target: > $50,000 (3.3x increase)

Drivers:

Higher wages from $25 minimum, job guarantee
Homeownership support (not detailed in current plan but implied by reduced housing cost burden)
Reduced debt burden from universal healthcare, free public college (if added)

Measurement: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances (triennial)

Healthcare Access and Affordability

Universal Coverage Achievement

Baseline (2024):

Uninsured rate: 8.0% (~26 million people)
Underinsured rate: ~23% (high out-of-pocket costs despite having insurance)

Targets:

Year 3: Uninsured rate < 2% (after public option launch, ACA expansion)
Year 5: Uninsured rate < 1% (effectively universal coverage)
Year 5: Underinsured rate < 10% (public option + cost controls reduce out-of-pocket burden)

Measurement: CDC National Health Interview Survey; Commonwealth Fund surveys

Healthcare Cost Reduction

Baseline (2024):

U.S. healthcare spending: 17% of GDP (~$4.5 trillion)
Average family premium: $21,000/year (employer + employee)
Median out-of-pocket spending: $1,200/year
Medical debt: 1 in 10 Americans have medical debt in collections

Targets:

Year 5: U.S. healthcare spending < 14% of GDP (save $900B annually)
Year 10: U.S. healthcare spending < 12% of GDP (save $1.5T annually, comparable to Germany)
Year 5: Average public option premium < $7,000/year (67% reduction vs. private)
Year 5: Median out-of-pocket spending < $500/year (60% reduction)
Year 3: Medical bankruptcy rate = 0 (eliminated via public option + cost-sharing limits)

Measurement: CMS National Health Expenditure Accounts; KFF premium surveys; Consumer Financial Protection Bureau data

Health Outcomes

Baseline (2024):

U.S. life expectancy: 77.5 years (vs. OECD average 80.5 years)
Infant mortality: 5.4 per 1,000 live births (vs. OECD average 4.0)
Maternal mortality: 22 per 100,000 (worst among developed nations)

Targets:

Year 10: Life expectancy > 80 years (close OECD gap)
Year 10: Infant mortality < 4.0 per 1,000 (OECD average)
Year 5: Maternal mortality < 10 per 100,000 (cut by more than half)

Measurement: CDC National Vital Statistics; WHO health data

Democratic Participation and Integrity

Voter Turnout

Baseline:

Presidential election: ~66% (2020)
Midterm election: ~47% (2022)
Local election: ~20-30%

Targets:

Presidential election turnout > 75% (comparable to Belgium, Sweden)
Midterm election turnout > 60%
Local election turnout > 50%

Drivers:

Automatic voter registration
Vote-by-mail expansion
Election day holiday
Ranked-choice voting (reduces spoiler effect, encourages participation)

Measurement: U.S. Elections Project turnout data

Campaign Finance Reform Impact

New Metrics:

Small-donor share of campaign funding:
- Baseline (2024): ~22% of funds from donors giving <$200
- Year 2 Target: > 40% (after public financing implementation)
- Year 5 Target: > 60%
Average time candidates spend fundraising:
- Baseline: ~30-50% of working hours (estimates)
- Year 2 Target: < 20% (public financing reduces need)
Number of competitive House districts:
- Baseline: ~40-60 (out of 435)
- Year 4 Target: > 120 (after independent redistricting, ranked-choice voting)

Measurement: FEC filings; OpenSecrets analysis; Cook Political Report ratings

Multi-Party Viability

New Metric:

Third-party/independent members of Congress:
- Baseline (2024): 0 (effectively)
- Year 4 Target: > 10 House members (after ranked-choice voting, public financing)
- Year 8 Target: > 30 House members, 3-5 Senators

Rationale: Ranked-choice voting eliminates spoiler effect; public financing reduces fundraising barrier for third parties

Measurement: Election results

Government Efficiency and Transparency

Digital Service Quality

Baseline (2024):

Federal website average user satisfaction: ~65% (Foresee/ACSI scores)
Number of federal websites: ~2,000+ (fragmented)
Digital service availability: ~40% of services online

Targets:

Year 3: “Digital Front Door” consolidates top 100 services into single portal
Year 5: Average user satisfaction > 80% (comparable to private sector leaders)
Year 5: > 80% of federal services available online
Year 10: 99% of services online (Estonia-level digitization)

Measurement: ACSI E-Government Satisfaction Index; OMB performance data

FOIA Response Time

Baseline (2024):

Median FOIA response time: ~100 days (varies widely by agency)
FOIA backlog: ~200,000+ pending requests

Targets:

Year 2: Median FOIA response < 30 days (after transparency initiative, staffing increase)
Year 5: FOIA backlog < 50,000 requests (75% reduction)
Year 5: 90% of simple requests resolved within 10 days

Measurement: Annual FOIA reports to DOJ

IRS Processing Time and Customer Service

Baseline (2024):

Average tax return processing: 21 days (electronic), 6-8 weeks (paper)
IRS customer service wait time: ~30 minutes average
IRS phone level of service: ~15% (only 15% of calls answered)

Targets:

Year 2: Electronic returns processed < 14 days
Year 2: Customer service wait time < 5 minutes
Year 2: Phone level of service > 80% (after IRA funding fully deployed)

Measurement: IRS annual reports to Congress; TIGTA audits

Government Spending Transparency

New Metrics:

Publicly accessible spending data:
- Baseline: ~30% of federal spending tracked in usaspending.gov (limited detail, 90-day lag)
- Year 1 Target: 100% of spending published in real-time (within 24 hours)
- Year 2 Target: Contract-level detail for all federal procurement
Citizen use of transparency data:
- Year 2 Target: 10+ million unique users/year of transparency portal
- Year 5 Target: 50+ million unique users/year

Measurement: OMB data; website analytics

Federal Job Guarantee Program Metrics

Participation and Outcomes

Targets:

Year 1 (Pilot): 50,000-100,000 participants across 5-10 communities
Year 3: 1-2 million participants nationally
Year 5: 5 million participant capacity (steady-state)
Placement rate: > 70% of participants in private sector jobs within 12 months
Wage progression: > 80% of placed participants earning $25/hour+ in subsequent employment
Community service delivery: 10 million+ hours of community services annually (Year 5)

Measurement: National Employment Service quarterly reports; participant surveys; community impact assessments

Anti-Trust and Competition Metrics

Market Concentration Reduction

Baseline:

Number of industries with 4-firm concentration ratio > 50%: ~75% of industries
Average markup (price over marginal cost): ~60% above 1980s levels

Targets:

Year 5: 4-firm concentration ratio < 50% in at least 20 major industries (via breakups, merger blocks)
Year 10: Average markup return to 1990s levels (25-30% reduction)

Measurement: Census Bureau economic concentration data; Economic Policy Institute analysis

Major Antitrust Cases

Quantitative Targets:

Year 2: 20+ major antitrust investigations initiated (DOJ + FTC)
Year 5: 10+ major enforcement actions (breakups, conduct remedies, merger blocks)
Year 10: Measurable reduction in consumer prices in previously monopolized sectors (10%+ price reductions)

Measurement: DOJ/FTC annual reports; economic analysis of affected markets

Defense Spending Efficiency

Cost Reduction and Readiness

Targets:

Year 1: 5% spending reduction ($45B) while maintaining readiness
Year 3: 25% spending reduction ($225B annually)
Contractor waste reduction: Identify and eliminate $50B+ in fraud, waste, abuse via audits
Procurement efficiency: Reduce cost overruns on major programs from ~30% average to < 10%
Readiness maintained: All military readiness metrics (personnel, equipment, training) at “ready” status (C-1/C-2 ratings)

Measurement: DoD budget reports; GAO audits; military readiness reports to Congress

Annual Reporting and Public Accountability

Transparency Commitment:

The administration will publish an annual “Project 2029 Progress Report” by March 1 of each year, covering:

Scorecard: Traffic-light status (green/yellow/red) for each metric vs. target
Detailed analysis: What’s working, what’s not, why
Course corrections: Policy adjustments based on evidence
Public input: Open comment period before finalizing annual report

Congressional Oversight:

Quarterly testimony to relevant Congressional committees on progress
Independent evaluation by Government Accountability Office (GAO) every 2 years
CBO re-scoring of fiscal impact annually (update projections based on actual results)

Consequences for Failure:

If metrics show policies not working, administration commits to:
- Acknowledge failures publicly
- Propose evidence-based modifications
- Consider abandoning unsuccessful approaches
Example: If wealth tax generates < 50% of projected revenue due to avoidance, trigger review and potential shift to mark-to-market taxation alternative

Citizen Engagement:

Public dashboard (www.project2029progress.gov or similar) with real-time data visualization
Open data API for researchers, journalists, advocacy groups
Annual town halls in all 50 states to discuss progress